Concordia Lutheran
Boys - Girls
2011 - 2012 - 2013
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State Rank #21
New Haven Semi-State Rank #5
West Noble Regional Rank #4
Northrop Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 16th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.3%
Advance to State Finals 74.1%
Advance to Semi-State 98.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
3  Zach Panning 11 15:37
160  Nathan Sutaphong 11 16:49
169  Jacob Reinking 12 16:51
Kody Jones 12 17:16
Jimmie Mallers 10 17:48
Jacob Panning 9 18:15
Connor Mickelini 12 18:25
Jon Adair 10 18:26
DateRace Rating
08/18 Bishop Luers Invitational
08/25 DeKalb Classic 271
09/08 Northrop Invitational 378
09/15 New Prairie Invitational 370
09/22 Culver Invitational 536
09/29 Summit Athletic Conference 560
10/09 Northrop Sectional 453
10/13 West Noble Regional 424
10/20 New Haven Semi-State 472




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 74.1% 16.7 425 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 3.1 6.0 7.4 8.1 9.4 9.2 9.0 7.6 5.9 3.8 2.4 0.7 0.1
Semi-State 98.5% 5.5 182 2.0 8.1 15.9 25.7 22.4 13.1 6.6 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.5 102 15.4 31.9 40.4 10.8 1.5
Sectionals 100% 3.2 86 21.2 37.0 39.1 2.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Panning 100% 3.2 19.2 16.8 12.6 9.4 7.3 5.9 5.1 3.6 3.2 2.9 2.4 1.9 1.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Nathan Sutaphong 74.1% 99.1 0.0 0.0% 1.3%
Jacob Reinking 74.1% 102.5 0.0% 0.8%
Kody Jones 74.1% 138.1 0.0% 0.0%
Jimmie Mallers 74.1% 171.1 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Panning 74.1% 183.1 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mickelini 74.1% 185.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Panning 100% 1.0 71.9 17.7 6.3 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Nathan Sutaphong 98.5% 32.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.3 2.6 3.0 0.0% 13.1%
Jacob Reinking 98.5% 34.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 2.3 2.4 0.0% 9.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Panning 100% 1.0 73.6 18.5 5.2 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Nathan Sutaphong 100% 19.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.7 2.1 3.0 4.3 5.7 6.8 7.6 8.9 8.6 8.6 8.0 6.6 5.6 4.6 60.6%
Jacob Reinking 100% 20.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.3 3.2 4.6 5.5 6.5 8.0 9.2 8.2 8.1 7.3 6.5 5.4 52.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zach Panning 1.0 76.6 18.8 3.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Nathan Sutaphong 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.1 2.9 4.0 5.7 8.4 10.8 12.7 12.2 10.2 8.3 7.0 4.6 3.5 2.2 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.3
Jacob Reinking 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.0 3.0 5.1 6.7 9.8 11.7 11.6 11.0 9.9 7.2 6.1 4.5 3.1 2.3 1.6 1.1 0.7